Drew Davenport: Through nine games last year, Montgomery was the 26th ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest. James Brimacombe: Johnson has been a fantasy hero for us in the past, but now entering Year 7, his best days are behind him. Ben Cummins: Robinson was an awesome story in 2020 as he just kept producing while seeing 21.43 opportunities per game (6th most in the league) from Weeks 1-16. Jonathan Morris: Gibson was already someone I was worried about getting enough volume to be drafted at his current ADP. You are better off investing in a more consistent player for your RB2 when you get to the late second or early third round of drafts. We don't yet know how much of Kamara's past success as a pass-catcher to attribute to Brees. Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. Swift also picked up bad footwork habits working alongside a different style of back in Adrian Peterson last year, opting for inefficient jump cuts that hurt his game. The current regime did not select Robinson. History and time have helped make Perry one of the most overrated defensive players of all time. The next season he hit bottom with a knee injury that damaged his ACL, MCL, and meniscus. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. Swift has already broken the injury seal with a groin issue in camp, and Jamaal Williams has already been spoken of highly as a potential 1A to Swift's No. Thats the first thing we notice. Most Overrated RB Of All-Time - Bleacher Report Jamal Lewis rushed for nearly 3,400 yards in the first two seasons back from his ACL tear. Chad Parsons: It's a crowded Jets depth chart, and assuming Carter rises to the top of a collection of similar profiles is overstated with his draft valuation. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. Then, two players were listed as being the most overrated compared to their draft projection. The Lessons of Barry Sanders - Grantland But drafting him as a high-upside No. It's not entirely his fault. Cam Akers, LA Rams | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB13. Earl Campbell 9. He's as gifted a receiver as he is a runner, which allows him to have huge games regardless of game script. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. The team added Brian Robinson Jr Jr. on day two of the draft while retaining J.D. In 2012, Adrian Peterson ran for a near record-breaking 2,097 yards.. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB16 | Consensus Projections RB17. The 4.29 ADY by the Steelers offensive line would be tied for 8th place in the NFL in 2009. Heading into this season, their offensive line is mediocre, their quarterback situation is a mess, they have a new coach, and the rest of the skill position players are uninspiring. Deion Sanders tops the list of overrated cornerbacks. Anthony Amico: The new regime for the Raiders is not particularly reassuring of Jacobs' role with the team. NFL's Most Overrated/Underrated QBs, RBs and WRs His best year came in 2011 when he ran for 10 touchdowns and 1,047 yards, but other than that he didn't do much else. NFL's 5 Most Overrated Running Backs - Bleacher Report Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. most overrated running backs of all time With the second-year back getting selected in the early second round of most drafts, fantasy managers must be expecting that trend to continue in 2021. He yields passing work to J.D. Williams can still be a great producer, but at his ADP, I won't be drafting him when he isn't getting the bulk of the touches. When you select Dobbins in your drafts, you are banking on the hyper-efficiency of his limited touches to continue. Pat Fitzmaurice: The Buccaneers' playoff run was the best four-game stretch for Fournette since the early part of the 2019 season. The Raiders are sure to recoup as much production as they can on the $8.5 million guarantee they gave Drake on a two-year deal, so this will look closer to a committee than a true lead-back situation. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league over that finishing stretch to put up those huge numbers. Davis has changed teams five times in the last three seasons. Ryan Hester: Gibson is a unique case in fantasy football. Bursting onto the scene in our list is Micah Richards. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. Leave him there for the next guy to take him. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB17 | Consensus Projections RB15. That number of targets limited his ceiling, and he was barely a low-end RB2. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Jordan McNamara: Like Gaskin, David Johnson is in a cloudy situation after Philip Lindsay drew the starting role in Houston in week 1. He also spent his first 5 years on the saints, where he got 20 carries exactly 2 times there. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were recently ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. LaDainian Tomlinson 6. Johnson is the incumbent with the largest contract, and yet he's being downshifted in favor of Mark Ingram II -- who did his best work in Baltimore, where Texans head coach David Culley comes from -- and Phillip Lindsay. Jason Garrett was one of the most uninspiring play-callers in the league last year. The Five Most Overrated Fantasy Football Running Backs in 2019. Malcolm Brown has also been an underrated commodity for some time now and gets a shot to compete with Gaskin for significant playing time. Robinsons workload will dramatically decrease this season, and drafters arent taking that into account as much as they should. There's just not enough upside here to justify taking Johnson anywhere near his ADP and no expectation of consistency in Johnson's usage or the Texans' ability to move the ball week to week. 24 Overrated Running Backs - Footballguys Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. Manchester City's most overrated players in the Premier League It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. He and Ameer Abdullah -- who played over Kenyan Drake in the first preseason game -- could take away tons of receiving work, while White is capable of obtaining shots around the goal line. Johnson was once a big name at the running back position and is still getting drafted based on that name and past production. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. 15 Best Running Backs of All-Time; Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB22. . In addition, teammate Gus Edwards just signed a two-year, $10M contract extension in June, so he isnt going anywhere any time soon. O.J. It looked like Williams would consolidate the lead role in the offseason. Search my work, about me, and maybe -if I ever get around to it - my blog. I just see way too much downside to take a risk on lightning striking twice. Even if he isn't named the Saints' starting quarterback, Hill's continued presence in the red zone and at the goal-line infringes on Kamara's touchdown opportunity. Top 10 Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your However, his footwork and explosiveness in tight spaces allowed him to slip would-be tacklers with consistency. Take a chance on a committee back in the same range who might emerge into a starter or become one due to injury. David Johnson 's fantasy fortunes have been a roller coaster ride over the past three seasons. After the Robinson selection, head coach Ron Rivera likened the potential Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson Jr combination to the Jonathan Stewart and D'Angelo Williams pairing he used during his Carolina days. Jeff Haseley: Josh McDaniels' history of using multiple running backs in his offense is enough to be concerned about Josh Jacobs not having a full-time role as the lead back for the Raiders. Jordan McNamara: Javonte Williams got a major bump in value in the offseason when Melvin Gordon III was a free agent. Gary Davenport: Drafting an RB1 based on wishful thinking isn't an ideal strategy, yet Williams keeps getting picked inside the top-12 at his position. Brady is known for being the only quarterback in history to win 7 Super Bowls, and is often considered one of the best quarterbacks of all time. Color me skeptical Sanders has a new ceiling for receiving production with Scott and Gainwell passing game-centric options, and Howard could be a goal-line option. The Five Most Overrated Fantasy Football Running Backs He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. Chase Edmonds, Arizona | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB23. Is the 40 Yard Dash the Most Overrated Test for Running | STACK McKissic is not your traditional committee back or injury-away dart throw for a big ceiling. The only other way for one of them to achieve high-end RB1 value would be an injury that allows the other to see an increased workload. Best Football Running Backs of All Time - TheTopTens Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his current ADP of RB13 and 20th overall. Phil Alexander: The epic stretch-run that led Montgomery to an RB4 finish in 2020 came with Tarik Cohen sidelined and against the defenses of Green Bay, Detroit, Houston, Minnesota, and Jacksonville, respectively. We've seen running backs repeatedly return from severe knee injuries; very seldom do they return the following year and have a memorable fantasy season. First, Johnson turns 30 in December, and considering all the injuries he's dealt with in his NFL career, it's hard to see him aging well. Its a knock on his offensive line. When I was comparing Bettis stats to the the 3 RBs I mentioned above, I saw that Bettis was highly overrated. During the next few weeks, we here at NFL.com will unveil our Most Underrated and Overrated Players of All Time for all 32 teams and allow users to determine their choices as well.. Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time It's not that they aren't great players, they just aren't everything we've been led to believe. Jeff Haseley: The Dolphins have a three-headed approach to the running back position this year. His career marks are high because he played long (13 yrs) and was consistent. Yep. He's a workout warrior - I get that, but whether or not he recovers immediately from this injury is yet to be seen, and because there is a doubt, he's someone I am avoiding at nearly all costs. The problem is it never really felt like we stopped moving Edmonds up the board even after the signing of James Conner. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). As a rookie, Montgomery was a disappointment, averaging just 10.7 fantasy points per game. But then he missed a game, the Bears had a bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. Raheem Mostert, San Francisco | Consensus Rankings RB31 | Consensus Projections RB35. Hes the favorite for running back targets, but the offense doesnt really throw to the running backs. They might be lucky to win three games, which means limited touchdown potential for Johnson and a shortage of run-friendly game scripts. But he's 29, he's undersized, he had a hard time staying healthy last year, he adds little as a pass catcher, and the San Francisco backfield is awfully crowded now. He's playing for his fifth team in seven seasons and has never been an instinctive runner. Finally, Sanders has continued fumbling and dropping passes in camp -- problems that plagued him last season. Jadeveon Clowney pegged as Cleveland Browns most overrated player Sigmund Bloom: One year after the signing of Gordon indicated a lack of faith in Phillip Lindsay -- that bore out with Lindsay being allowed to leave in free agency this offseason -- the Broncos moved up in the second round to take Javonte Williams, indicating a lack of faith in Gordon. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. Expect a more even split in touches than many are forecasting and potentially for Brown to earn the lead role. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. Jordan McNamara: Malcom Brown drew the starter role in the first preseason game, and the team has shown the willingness to change starters against conventional wisdom when Gaskin was a surprise starter in Week 1. And was brought back by a new staff that keeps saying he will be a significant part of the offense. Barry Sanders is easily the best ever. Crimson Tide skill players have been pretty good coming into the NFL recently, and Robinson's early start to camp has been generating buzz. I think this is pretty unfair to call him the most overrated. But I do not believe The Bus should be in the list of the top 40 RBs of all time. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. It also must be remembered his journey through the NFL before that. His retirement all but guarantees some drop-off in Kamara's receiving numbers regardless of whether Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill is named the Saints starting quarterback. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. Theyre going to be one of the worst teams in NFL History. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris will likely struggle behind his offensive line and may not garner an elite share of red zone touches. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB11. Not to mention I expect this offense to throw the ball a lot more than last year due to the addition of Russell Wilson and new Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett. His ADP says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, but he's still being overvalued at his current price. This is a major factor in any expectation that Robinson would be fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the early weeks of the season. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. The Commanders made it a priority of theirs to bring back J.D. His ADP has been climbing recently, and while his price says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, he's still being overvalued at his current price. Flick's Package Liquor Inc. PO Box 221 3320 Sterns Rd. Mckissic, and there was talk of rookie Brian Robinson Jr taking on the short yardage work. Taysom Hill had nine carries from inside the opponent's five-yard line to Kamara's 15 in 2021 and won't be removed from the Saints' red-zone plans any time soon. He was a reliable pass-protector, and had sure hands. Zamir White is looking like a capable back and could eat into Jacobs' carries. Running back Chris Wells of the Arizona Cardinals was a first-round draft pick, 31st overall, in 2009 who always seemed to be on the injured list year after year. I'm out. The Greatest 30 Running Backs in NFL History, Ranked - Alot Living Ben Cummins: I dont want much to do with the Texans at all this season. No thanks. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Drew Davenport: Gordon hasn't been a special player for a while now, and at times last year looked completely ineffective. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. 21 RB Sleepers. by | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers He's never carried the ball more than 132 times in a season. As a model for other running backs, one of the greatest running backs of all time is a horrible example. Downing, USA Today Sports. There are some people who will say he was the most overrated running back in history because he was 1-5 in the playoffs, and he never won a Super . Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. There are no guarantees he fits with what Atlanta wants to do or whether he has the endurance to handle a workload after last year's use. Sigmund Bloom: There are too many forces that Barkley has to swim upstream again to justify taking Barkley at his lofty ADP. The notorious "Frankenstein" graphic did him no favors. Ryan Hester: This isnt a knock on Harris, whose athletic profile and projected workload are things fantasy players dream of. Gaskin may be the top option for now, but that could change with a strong outing from veteran Malcolm Brown or Salvon Ahmed. Also, Jalen Hurts is poised to siphon a few short-range scores from the running back position. most overrated running backs of all time - cldaniels.com Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB22 | Consensus Projections RB24. His production waned down the stretch in Carolina last year, and when was the last time we cared about an Atlanta running back in fantasy football anyway? 24 Overrated RBs. Travis Etienne, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB26 | Consensus Projections RB26. Simpson 13. It probably comes off as harsh to call Montgomery one of the most overrated running backs of the past decade, but he is. We've seen J.D. Thurman Thomas 14. There have been personnel changes and a change in offensive coordinator to Matt Canada. The addition of James Conner, plus the knowledge that Kyler Murray could steal goal-line carries, also adds a bit of skepticism. The Top Ten. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB18. Take Carter later as a committee back with some possible upside, but he's being overvalued by drafters right now. Jonathan Morris: I can't endorse a high pick on Javonte Williams when he will yield a lot of work to Melvin Gordon III. The first thing that pops out at us is that Jerome Bettis 3.9 YPC is a good deal lower than the offensive lines mark of 4.29 (ADY). There have been 49 running backs taken among the first 10 picks since 1960, and Byars has the lowest rushing average of the bunch. While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. The only defense in that group to finish above the bottom quartile in Football Outsiders' rush defense DVOA metric was Green Bay, who allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to enemy running backs last season. Malcolm Brown is one of the least-sexy names in fantasy football, but NFL teams sure seem to love him. Gaskin's current draft position is indicative of him being the top back in Miami, and it's not a foregone conclusion that he is. Back up Share project Close 2022 hyundai sonata limited interior; what is birkenstock oiled leather; bates high gloss duty oxford; most overrated running backs of all time. Nobody should ever try to run like Barry Sanders, because they will never be Barry Sanders. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. J.K. McKissic, Washington | Consensus Rankings RB47 | Consensus Projections RB45. Kevin Coleman: Antonio Gibsons value took a hit this offseason. In no way am I saying Bettis should not be a hall of famer. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. Dillon a lot, and reports from OTAs have been promising. Most Overrated QB: Tom Brady 1 of 6 Gibsons problems with fumbles have been a complaint of Ron Rivera, and he has already shown it is not gone in the preseason. Henry has never caught more than 19 passes in a season, and that limited production as a receiver is an issue. Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. Robinson can be successful this year, but he will need luck and to earn the trust of the new coaching staff. Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. John Riggins 19. Now, these guys are treated with all the respect of disposable diapers. Its easy and lazy to make comparisons to "Todd Gurley under Sean McVay," but that hope is pushing him into a tier of running backs that he does not belong. Phil Alexander: Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. Top 20 Most Overrated NFL Players Of All Time - TheSportster 24 Overrated Running Backs - Footballguys James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB30. Barry Sanders - 15, averaged one 50-plus-yard TD every 204 carries. The Ravens have had the #1 rushing offense in the league for the last two years straight but have finished 31st overall in total running back targets in that same time span. Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. But the Broncos re-signed Melvin Gordon III, which cannot be interpreted as anything short of a re-commitment to a 50/50 committee. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. At times he looked like the future back Detroit has been looking for this century. Can he still be fantasy-relevant? The Raiders declined to exercise Jacobs fifth-year option this offseason, drafted Zamir White in the fourth round, signed Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden, and Kenyan Drake returns from injury. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback is going to gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Jordan McNamara: The news on Saquon Barkley does not reassure me. At others, he made mistakes and was underused. Washingtons offense ranked 21st in overall DVOA last season and doesnt project to improve much in 2022 despite the addition of Carson Wentz. 25 Overrated Running Backs - Footballguys Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB7. Why Bo Jackson is the Most Overrated Player of All Time Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB9 | Consensus Projections RB9. Marshall Faulk 7. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Baltimore Ravens: Most underrated, overrated players of all time The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. With an almost entirely new coaching staff, quarterback and receivers, it is difficult to trust that Swift will be worth his asking price. Compared to Jim Brown (5.2 YPC), Larry Csonka (4.3 YPC), and Earl Campbell (4.3 YPC). USA Today named the most overrated player on every NFL team in 2022 and for the Cleveland Browns, Jadeveon Clowney was given this unwanted distinction. Unless his ADP falls a bit, he's a pass where he's being drafted right now. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. By the end of the year, that may change, but Etienne will be a change-of-pace and gadget player who might earn flex value this year until then. Kansas City had 40 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing scores. Some running backs, such as Chris Johnson this year, are a full 2.0 YPC over their offensive lines ADY. Gaskin is a nice player, but the signings by this staff the last two offseasons say they don't have confidence that Gaskin is their guy. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. Chad Parsons: McKissic is priced reasonably with an implied drop in targets. So should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders to be an every-down back. He also has a new coaching staff, a new play-caller, and a new system to learn. Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB7. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. That, plus the uncertainty of Edmond's role, leaves me more concerned than excited. He was used more as a receiver than anything. Ryan Hester: Short of Taysom Hill (if he wins the job), this whole offense is an avoid for fantasy football right now. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB10. Dillon is maturing as a receiver and might be used in that facet of the game despite his size profile suggesting hes a bruiser. No one can take away his heroics stepping in for Christian McCaffrey, and he was rewarded in the offseason when Atlanta presumably signed him to be new coach Arthur Smith's feature back. Wait until next year. In June 2008, Sports Illustrated polled nearly 500 players on the most overrated athlete in baseball, and Jeter was numero uno. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. As well as he played in the postseason, Fournette is still an inefficient committee back ticketed to share work with Ronald Jones II and Giovani Bernard. Miami will use a committee as none of the backs on the roster can handle the lead-back role. His career YPC was 3.9. Jason Wood: Jacobs was the only projected Raiders offensive starter to play in the Hall of Fame game, which should be a blaring red flag for how much new head coach Josh McDaniels values Jacobs as a centerpiece.
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